Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Roy wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Boyd 44.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 55.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 71.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Roy
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Roy
Boyd
Last 10: Roy 6-4 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Boyd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
2
Roy
Boyd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
6
3
Roy
Boyd
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
44.4% (2,186)
+4.3%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
46.5% (256)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
35.6% (208)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Roy shoots right. Boyd is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Roy
Boyd
Home
49.5% (2,221)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Roy
Boyd
P1
50.8%
41.7%
P2
46.3%
46.2%
P3
48.1%
44.0%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |