Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Roy wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Lewis 43.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Lewis leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lewis 74.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.5%
Neutral zone
Lewis 55.9%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Roy
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Roy
Lewis
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
2
Roy
Lewis
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
2
5
Roy
Lewis
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
43.2% (2,347)
+5.5%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
51.9% (108)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
38.6% (365)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Roy shoots right. Lewis is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Roy
Lewis
Home
49.5% (2,221)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Roy
Lewis
P1
50.8%
42.8%
P2
46.3%
43.9%
P3
48.1%
41.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |