Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Lewis 45.0% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Lewis 51.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.4%
Neutral zone
Lewis 53.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Roy
Lewis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
42.5% (127)
+7.0%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
66.7% (6)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
38.8% (49)
+3.9%
On power play, Lewis has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Roy shoots right. Lewis is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Roy
Lewis
Home
47.7% (491)
47.4% (95)
Away
50.0% (440)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Roy
Lewis
P1
51.1%
36.4%
P2
44.6%
45.8%
P3
50.9%
43.6%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.3%