Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Lewis 47.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 58.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.0%
Neutral zone
Lewis 53.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Roy
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Roy
Lewis
Last 6: Roy 2-4 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
4
Roy
Lewis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
46.0% (189)
+2.6%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
100.0% (2)
-52.0%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
42.9% (7)
-8.2%
On power play, Lewis has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Roy shoots right. Lewis is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Roy
Lewis
Home
49.3% (345)
43.3% (90)
Away
46.4% (433)
49.1% (108)
By Period
Roy
Lewis
P1
47.6%
46.9%
P2
47.1%
46.3%
P3
47.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |