Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Lewis 44.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 57.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 62.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Roy
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roy
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
41.8% (251)
+6.5%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
45.5% (11)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
44.7% (47)
-1.0%
On power play, Roy has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Roy shoots right. Lewis is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Roy
Lewis
Home
50.8% (376)
39.2% (166)
Away
45.4% (392)
46.2% (143)
By Period
Roy
Lewis
P1
53.8%
45.2%
P2
43.5%
43.8%
P3
46.4%
37.8%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |