Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.8% vs Lewis 44.0% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 60.9%
Defensive zone
Lewis 55.8%
Neutral zone
Lewis 55.1%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Roy
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Roy
Lewis
Last 7: Roy 3-4 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
2
Roy
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (176)
37.6% (101)
+13.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
40.0% (5)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
11.1% (9)
50.0% (10)
-38.9%
On penalty kill, Lewis has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Roy is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Roy shoots right. Lewis is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Roy
Lewis
Home
50.0% (88)
37.5% (48)
Away
46.7% (105)
39.7% (68)
By Period
Roy
Lewis
P1
57.7%
36.6%
P2
46.6%
48.6%
P3
39.1%
31.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
20.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.2%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |