Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Aman wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aman 40.2% vs Novak 45.6% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 85.0%
Defensive zone
Aman 50.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 76.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Aman
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Aman
Novak
Last 6: Aman 4-2 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Aman
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aman
2
0
Aman
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aman
2
1
Aman
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aman
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (439)
43.8% (384)
-4.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
58.8% (17)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
100.0% (1)
-75.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Aman is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Aman shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Aman
Novak
Home
39.8% (259)
46.5% (202)
Away
36.3% (215)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Aman
Novak
P1
38.9%
49.2%
P2
41.7%
44.2%
P3
33.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |