Scouting Report
Nils Aman holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Aman wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aman 47.3% vs Novak 43.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 71.6%
Defensive zone
Aman 62.0%
Neutral zone
Novak 55.0%
Result
Nils Aman favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Aman
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Aman
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Aman
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aman
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (150)
40.7% (460)
+4.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.5% (39)
-61.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
0.0% (1)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Aman has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Aman is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Aman shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Aman
Novak
Home
40.6% (64)
47.0% (236)
Away
48.9% (94)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Aman
Novak
P1
52.0%
43.1%
P2
43.9%
43.1%
P3
41.2%
40.1%
Final 5 min
30.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
45.6%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |