Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Cates 40.4% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 74.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 78.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 77.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Coyle
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Coyle
Cates
Last 8: Coyle 2-6 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
2
Coyle
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
3
Coyle
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
40.4% (841)
+12.3%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
42.4% (66)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
32.7% (147)
+15.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Coyle shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cates
Home
53.3% (512)
38.2% (566)
Away
51.9% (507)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Coyle
Cates
P1
53.8%
40.5%
P2
47.8%
42.4%
P3
56.7%
35.3%
OT
38.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Noah Cates |