Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Cates 40.4% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 96.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 78.6%
Neutral zone
Ek 88.2%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Ek
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
6
(22 meetings)
16
6
Ek
Cates
Last 10: Ek 7-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
8
3
Ek
Cates
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
1
Ek
Cates
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
5
2
Ek
Cates
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (926)
40.4% (841)
+8.0%
Power Play
55.4% (327)
42.4% (66)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (133)
32.7% (147)
+8.7%
On power play, Ek has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Ek is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (817).
Ek shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Ek
Cates
Home
50.1% (689)
38.2% (566)
Away
48.6% (697)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Ek
Cates
P1
49.5%
40.5%
P2
49.3%
42.4%
P3
48.9%
35.3%
OT
53.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | OT | 02:05 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |