Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Cates 40.4% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 97.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 76.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 93.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 92.0%
92.0%
8.0%
Draisaitl
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Draisaitl
Cates
Last 6: Draisaitl 5-1 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
40.4% (841)
+12.0%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
42.4% (66)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
32.7% (147)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Cates
Home
54.5% (778)
38.2% (566)
Away
55.3% (692)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Draisaitl
Cates
P1
54.6%
40.5%
P2
56.1%
42.4%
P3
53.3%
35.3%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |