Scouting Report
Martin Necas holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Necas wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 46.0% vs Cates 40.4% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 77.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 59.5%
Neutral zone
Necas 61.2%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Necas
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Necas
Cates
Last 9: Necas 5-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
2
1
Necas
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Necas
Cates
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (339)
40.4% (841)
+4.1%
Power Play
47.4% (57)
42.4% (66)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
32.7% (147)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Necas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Necas shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Necas
Cates
Home
44.8% (203)
38.2% (566)
Away
45.3% (214)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Necas
Cates
P1
46.8%
40.5%
P2
40.0%
42.4%
P3
50.0%
35.3%
OT
37.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Noah Cates |