Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cates wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Byfield 44.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 55.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 50.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.7%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Cates
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cates
Byfield
Last 8: Cates 4-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Cates
Byfield
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cates
Byfield
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Byfield
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,742)
45.3% (2,107)
-1.2%
Power Play
43.0% (242)
47.3% (112)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
37.3% (225)
-2.4%
On power play, Byfield has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Cates shoots left. Byfield is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,627).
Home / Away
Cates
Byfield
Home
43.8% (1,663)
45.2% (1,163)
Away
42.1% (1,694)
44.1% (1,281)
By Period
Cates
Byfield
P1
44.5%
45.0%
P2
43.5%
43.7%
P3
41.2%
45.5%
OT
29.4%
41.5%
Final 5 min
41.1%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |