Scouting Report
Rickard Rakell holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Rakell 49.6% (-8.1%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 71.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 82.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Cates
Rakell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
37.5% (16)
+2.9%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
80.0% (5)
-37.6%
On power play, Rakell has a +37.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Cates shoots left. Rakell is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Cates
Rakell
Home
38.2% (566)
66.7% (9)
Away
41.0% (488)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Cates
Rakell
P1
40.5%
75.0%
P2
42.4%
42.9%
P3
35.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
36.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
47.6%