Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.1% vs Rakell 47.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 71.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 65.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 57.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Cates
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cates
Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Rakell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (912)
41.5% (41)
+5.2%
Power Play
33.9% (56)
66.7% (3)
-32.8%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (137)
0.0% (1)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Cates shoots left. Rakell is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Cates
Rakell
Home
46.1% (521)
40.0% (15)
Away
43.3% (584)
43.3% (30)
By Period
Cates
Rakell
P1
48.0%
40.0%
P2
42.3%
37.5%
P3
44.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
42.5%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Noah Cates |