Noah Cates vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Cates
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cates
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
45.4% (527)
-5.0%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
41.2% (17)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
44.9% (138)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Cates shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Cates
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
38.2% (566)
46.1% (336)
Away
41.0% (488)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Cates
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
40.5%
49.1%
P2
42.4%
45.3%
P3
35.3%
42.0%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Noah Cates |