Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +56.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 46.7% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-56.8%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 73.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Cates
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
0.0% (6)
56.6% (1,064)
-56.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
54.0% (261)
-54.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cates is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Cates shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Cates
O'Reilly
Home
0.0% (5)
54.9% (801)
Away
0.0% (2)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Cates
O'Reilly
P1
0.0%
58.0%
P2
0.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
0.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%