Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Strome 44.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 61.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 68.4%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Cates
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cates
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Cates
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
43.0% (788)
-2.6%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
47.9% (96)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
50.0% (34)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Cates shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Cates
Strome
Home
38.2% (566)
42.6% (486)
Away
41.0% (488)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Cates
Strome
P1
40.5%
41.0%
P2
42.4%
47.8%
P3
35.3%
42.1%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |