Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.1% vs Strome 42.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Cates leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 54.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 81.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 68.4%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Cates
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Cates
Strome
Last 10: Cates 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
6
Cates
Strome
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
7
0
Cates
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cates
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (912)
41.2% (1,040)
+5.5%
Power Play
33.9% (56)
43.0% (151)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (137)
51.4% (35)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Cates shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Cates
Strome
Home
46.1% (521)
40.1% (581)
Away
43.3% (584)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Cates
Strome
P1
48.0%
41.4%
P2
42.3%
42.9%
P3
44.3%
40.5%
OT
31.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
42.5%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Noah Cates |