Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Strome 45.2% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Cates 50.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 52.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Cates
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (712)
44.2% (267)
+1.2%
Power Play
42.2% (102)
37.0% (27)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
50.0% (4)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cates is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Cates shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Cates
Strome
Home
46.3% (423)
42.0% (157)
Away
43.6% (438)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Cates
Strome
P1
46.3%
40.0%
P2
47.1%
46.4%
P3
42.1%
44.0%
OT
18.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%