Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 57.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 68.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Cates
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cates
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
49.2% (307)
-8.8%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
66.7% (6)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
48.2% (56)
-15.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Cates shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Cates
Carrick
Home
38.2% (566)
50.3% (175)
Away
41.0% (488)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Cates
Carrick
P1
40.5%
41.0%
P2
42.4%
51.2%
P3
35.3%
55.3%
Final 5 min
36.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |