Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Carrick 53.0% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 54.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 88.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 60.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Cates
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Cates
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cates
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
53.9% (521)
-9.6%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
57.1% (35)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
51.5% (229)
-19.8%
On power play, Cates has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Cates shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Cates
Carrick
Home
52.0% (148)
52.7% (408)
Away
38.5% (182)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Cates
Carrick
P1
42.7%
51.4%
P2
42.9%
56.6%
P3
48.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Noah Cates |