Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.1% vs Carrick 53.7% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Cates leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carrick 61.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 81.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 75.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Cates
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Cates
Carrick
Last 5: Cates 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cates
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cates
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
2
0
Cates
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (912)
53.8% (654)
-7.1%
Power Play
33.9% (56)
0.0% (2)
+33.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (137)
63.9% (36)
-28.9%
On power play, Cates has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Cates shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Cates
Carrick
Home
46.1% (521)
50.0% (328)
Away
43.3% (584)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Cates
Carrick
P1
48.0%
56.7%
P2
42.3%
51.1%
P3
44.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
42.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Noah Cates |