Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Pinto 51.9% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 57.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 59.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 60.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Cates
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Cates
Pinto
Last 10: Cates 4-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Cates
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cates
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Cates
Pinto
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
52.5% (825)
-12.1%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
40.0% (10)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
44.4% (27)
-11.7%
On even strength, Pinto has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Cates shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Cates
Pinto
Home
38.2% (566)
52.8% (453)
Away
41.0% (488)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Cates
Pinto
P1
40.5%
49.0%
P2
42.4%
53.5%
P3
35.3%
53.7%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
36.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Noah Cates |