Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Zegras 43.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 54.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 75.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 66.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Cates
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cates
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
39.8% (128)
+4.5%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
22.2% (9)
+55.6%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
0.0% (1)
+31.7%
On power play, Cates has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Cates shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Cates
Zegras
Home
52.0% (148)
29.7% (74)
Away
38.5% (182)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Cates
Zegras
P1
42.7%
40.7%
P2
42.9%
35.1%
P3
48.5%
41.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Noah Cates |