Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Zegras 35.4% (+14.6%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 68.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 66.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 56.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Cates
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (712)
29.6% (230)
+15.8%
Power Play
42.2% (102)
32.1% (56)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
100.0% (1)
-55.3%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Cates shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Cates
Zegras
Home
46.3% (423)
30.6% (147)
Away
43.6% (438)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Cates
Zegras
P1
46.3%
33.0%
P2
47.1%
31.7%
P3
42.1%
25.6%
OT
18.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.0%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%