Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Motte 47.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 65.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 72.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 65.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Cates
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cates
Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Cates
Motte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Cates
Motte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
37.5% (32)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
47.4% (19)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Motte has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Cates shoots left. Motte is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Cates
Motte
Home
38.2% (566)
54.5% (22)
Away
41.0% (488)
31.0% (29)
By Period
Cates
Motte
P1
40.5%
60.0%
P2
42.4%
39.1%
P3
35.3%
25.0%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |