Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Motte 50.2% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Motte 50.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 52.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.6%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Cates
Motte
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
49.7% (149)
-5.4%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
100.0% (1)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
60.0% (5)
-28.3%
On penalty kill, Motte has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Cates shoots left. Motte is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Cates
Motte
Home
52.0% (148)
49.4% (89)
Away
38.5% (182)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Cates
Motte
P1
42.7%
51.7%
P2
42.9%
50.0%
P3
48.5%
48.8%
Final 5 min
44.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.3%