Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.1% vs Motte 44.9% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Motte 64.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 66.8%
Neutral zone
Cates 57.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Cates
Motte
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (912)
40.8% (130)
+5.9%
Power Play
33.9% (56)
50.0% (8)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (137)
42.9% (7)
-7.9%
On power play, Motte has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cates shoots left. Motte is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Cates
Motte
Home
46.1% (521)
39.3% (61)
Away
43.3% (584)
42.9% (84)
By Period
Cates
Motte
P1
48.0%
42.0%
P2
42.3%
44.7%
P3
44.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
42.5%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
41.4%