Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.5% vs Jost 45.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 58.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 54.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 58.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Cates
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cates
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (712)
39.3% (84)
+6.1%
Power Play
42.2% (102)
0.0% (1)
+42.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
50.0% (6)
-5.3%
On power play, Cates has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Cates shoots left. Jost is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Cates
Jost
Home
46.3% (423)
38.5% (52)
Away
43.6% (438)
41.0% (39)
By Period
Cates
Jost
P1
46.3%
40.6%
P2
47.1%
38.9%
P3
42.1%
39.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Noah Cates |