Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.6% vs 45.2%). Cates wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.1% vs Jost 47.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 67.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 74.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Cates
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cates
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Cates
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (912)
45.7% (116)
+1.0%
Power Play
33.9% (56)
37.5% (8)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (137)
50.0% (2)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Jost has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cates shoots left. Jost is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Cates
Jost
Home
46.1% (521)
39.7% (68)
Away
43.3% (584)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Cates
Jost
P1
48.0%
40.5%
P2
42.3%
47.9%
P3
44.3%
47.2%
Final 5 min
42.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |