Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.5% vs 38.8%). Cates wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Jost 40.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 50.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 52.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Cates
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cates
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
41.8% (388)
-1.4%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
0.0% (3)
+42.4%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
21.7% (60)
+11.0%
On power play, Cates has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Cates shoots left. Jost is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Cates
Jost
Home
38.2% (566)
42.6% (230)
Away
41.0% (488)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Cates
Jost
P1
40.5%
43.2%
P2
42.4%
38.2%
P3
35.3%
34.6%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Noah Cates |