Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Cates wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Jost 45.0% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Jost 54.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 51.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 59.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Cates
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
43.3% (194)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
25.0% (8)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Cates shoots left. Jost is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Cates
Jost
Home
52.0% (148)
39.7% (78)
Away
38.5% (182)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Cates
Jost
P1
42.7%
40.5%
P2
42.9%
43.2%
P3
48.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
44.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%