Noah Ostlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Ostlund wins 23.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostlund 34.9% vs Girgensons 42.9% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 66.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 78.1%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 50.5%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Ostlund
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
28.8% (205)
36.2% (94)
-7.4%
Power Play
0.0% (7)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
41.2% (17)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Ostlund is 23.9% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Ostlund shoots left. Girgensons is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Ostlund
Girgensons
Home
34.5% (116)
38.0% (50)
Away
20.2% (99)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Ostlund
Girgensons
P1
32.9%
43.2%
P2
27.3%
34.3%
P3
22.6%
32.5%
Final 5 min
24.5%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostlund
22.0%▼
27.0%
27.9%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%