Noah Ostlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Ostlund wins 28.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostlund 36.5% vs Girgensons 45.8% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 77.4%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 72.3%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 58.7%
Result
Noah Ostlund favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Ostlund
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ostlund
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Ostlund
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
32.2% (261)
43.2% (146)
-11.0%
Power Play
11.1% (9)
50.0% (2)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.8% (29)
-11.5%
On power play, Girgensons has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Ostlund is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Ostlund shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Ostlund
Girgensons
Home
37.3% (142)
40.3% (72)
Away
25.2% (131)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Ostlund
Girgensons
P1
34.0%
43.8%
P2
32.6%
44.6%
P3
27.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
23.4%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |