Noah Ostlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ostlund wins 30.1% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostlund 36.5% vs Girgensons 45.3% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 88.4%
Defensive zone
Ostlund 62.9%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 75.7%
Result
Noah Ostlund favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Ostlund
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ostlund
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Ostlund
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Ostlund
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
3
Ostlund
Girgensons
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (283)
45.4% (2,700)
-12.9%
Power Play
11.1% (9)
49.1% (175)
-38.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.2% (481)
-8.9%
On power play, Girgensons has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Ostlund is 30.1% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Ostlund shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Ostlund
Girgensons
Home
37.0% (154)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
26.2% (141)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Ostlund
Girgensons
P1
34.6%
45.7%
P2
32.0%
44.1%
P3
28.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
23.6%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |