Noah Ostlund vs Zemgus Girgensons
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostlund 47.5% vs Girgensons 48.5% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 65.1%
Defensive zone
Ostlund 57.1%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 62.7%
Result
Noah Ostlund favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Ostlund
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ostlund
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Ostlund
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Ostlund
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
2
Ostlund
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostlund
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
36.4% (22)
47.2% (127)
-10.8%
On even strength, Girgensons has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Ostlund is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Ostlund shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Ostlund
Girgensons
Home
33.3% (12)
50.0% (80)
Away
40.0% (10)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Ostlund
Girgensons
P1
42.9%
40.5%
P2
25.0%
54.3%
P3
42.9%
45.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
36.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%