Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 54.5%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Acciari 53.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 91.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 81.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 66.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Larkin
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Larkin
Acciari
Last 5: Larkin 4-1 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Larkin
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
55.6% (426)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
0.0% (2)
+57.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
52.1% (146)
-5.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
Larkin
Acciari
Home
56.0% (654)
55.2% (306)
Away
54.8% (639)
53.7% (268)
By Period
Larkin
Acciari
P1
54.4%
55.5%
P2
55.9%
54.3%
P3
55.2%
54.1%
OT
64.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |