Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McTavish wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 43.3% vs Acciari 53.3% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 65.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 66.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 67.4%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
McTavish
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McTavish
Acciari
Last 5: McTavish 1-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
McTavish
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
McTavish
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
McTavish
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (675)
54.5% (532)
-12.1%
Power Play
40.5% (42)
62.5% (8)
-22.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
48.8% (86)
+1.2%
On power play, Acciari has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
McTavish shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
McTavish
Acciari
Home
41.9% (372)
56.2% (281)
Away
42.8% (353)
51.9% (345)
By Period
McTavish
Acciari
P1
47.2%
53.4%
P2
36.2%
57.1%
P3
43.6%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |