Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 90.8%
Neutral zone
Acciari 77.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Acciari
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Acciari
O'Reilly
Last 10: Acciari 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
12
Acciari
O'Reilly
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
6
1
Acciari
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Acciari
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,276)
56.2% (15,260)
-3.4%
Power Play
48.2% (85)
58.8% (3,445)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,061)
51.4% (2,811)
-4.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Acciari shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Acciari
O'Reilly
Home
52.0% (2,115)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
50.7% (2,307)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Acciari
O'Reilly
P1
52.2%
55.6%
P2
51.5%
57.0%
P3
50.5%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |