Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.9%). Acciari wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 94.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Acciari
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Acciari
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Acciari
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
0
Acciari
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
55.0% (1,084)
+0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.8% (303)
-56.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
40.3% (149)
+11.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Acciari shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Acciari
O'Reilly
Home
55.2% (306)
54.8% (759)
Away
53.7% (268)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Acciari
O'Reilly
P1
55.5%
55.3%
P2
54.3%
51.9%
P3
54.1%
54.2%
OT
33.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
47.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |