Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.2% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 94.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 81.5%
Neutral zone
Acciari 54.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Acciari
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Acciari
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Acciari
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (393)
56.2% (983)
+0.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.5% (254)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (202)
52.0% (102)
-4.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Acciari shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Acciari
O'Reilly
Home
54.5% (279)
56.2% (697)
Away
53.0% (319)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Acciari
O'Reilly
P1
56.9%
54.5%
P2
51.4%
55.5%
P3
53.2%
57.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |