Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.3% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 56.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Acciari
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (532)
56.1% (690)
-1.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
64.6% (96)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
45.9% (109)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Acciari shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Acciari
O'Reilly
Home
56.2% (281)
58.3% (408)
Away
51.9% (345)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Acciari
O'Reilly
P1
53.4%
57.7%
P2
57.1%
54.8%
P3
51.4%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%