Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Acciari wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.3% vs Zegras 42.6% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 54.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 92.7%
Neutral zone
Acciari 84.5%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Acciari
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Acciari
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
1
Acciari
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (532)
41.1% (559)
+13.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.0% (12)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
50.0% (2)
-1.2%
On even strength, Acciari has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Acciari shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Acciari
Zegras
Home
56.2% (281)
45.7% (247)
Away
51.9% (345)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Acciari
Zegras
P1
53.4%
45.5%
P2
57.1%
36.8%
P3
51.4%
41.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |