Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Zegras 35.4% (+21.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 88.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 92.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 69.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Acciari
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Acciari
Zegras
Last 7: Acciari 4-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Acciari
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
3
0
Acciari
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Acciari
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (285)
29.6% (230)
+23.4%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
32.1% (56)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (183)
100.0% (1)
-49.2%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Acciari shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Acciari
Zegras
Home
53.2% (267)
30.6% (147)
Away
49.3% (217)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Acciari
Zegras
P1
53.1%
33.0%
P2
51.1%
31.7%
P3
50.6%
25.6%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 04:32 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |