Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs Zegras 43.3% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 73.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 92.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 71.3%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Acciari
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Acciari
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
0
Acciari
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
39.8% (128)
+15.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
22.2% (9)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
0.0% (1)
+52.1%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Acciari shoots right. Zegras is 30.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Acciari
Zegras
Home
55.2% (306)
29.7% (74)
Away
53.7% (268)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Acciari
Zegras
P1
55.5%
40.7%
P2
54.3%
35.1%
P3
54.1%
41.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |