Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 63.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 70.6%
Neutral zone
Acciari 50.3%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Acciari
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Acciari
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Acciari
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (532)
49.1% (847)
+5.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
79.5% (44)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
39.5% (81)
+9.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Acciari shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Acciari
Gourde
Home
56.2% (281)
50.1% (491)
Away
51.9% (345)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Acciari
Gourde
P1
53.4%
54.7%
P2
57.1%
45.0%
P3
51.4%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |