Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.2% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 89.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 68.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 52.1%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Acciari
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Acciari
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Acciari
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (393)
51.2% (469)
+5.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
42.9% (21)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (202)
37.5% (48)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Acciari shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Acciari
Gourde
Home
54.5% (279)
47.8% (301)
Away
53.0% (319)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Acciari
Gourde
P1
56.9%
47.3%
P2
51.4%
53.4%
P3
53.2%
48.6%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |