Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Gourde 48.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 85.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 81.0%
Neutral zone
Acciari 56.9%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Acciari
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
10
(27 meetings)
17
10
Acciari
Gourde
Last 10: Acciari 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Acciari
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
12
5
Acciari
Gourde
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Acciari
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,276)
48.4% (4,954)
+4.4%
Power Play
48.2% (85)
57.4% (376)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,061)
39.9% (554)
+7.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Acciari shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Acciari
Gourde
Home
52.0% (2,115)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
50.7% (2,307)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Acciari
Gourde
P1
52.2%
49.9%
P2
51.5%
47.4%
P3
50.5%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |