Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Kapanen wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.4% vs Greig 53.8% (-11.8%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 63.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 75.4%
Neutral zone
Greig 55.0%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Kapanen
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (45)
53.6% (280)
-9.2%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
61.3% (31)
-24.9%
On power play, Greig has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Kapanen is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Kapanen shoots right. Greig is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Greig
Home
39.4% (33)
56.2% (185)
Away
47.8% (23)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Kapanen
Greig
P1
42.9%
52.8%
P2
40.0%
51.6%
P3
47.1%
59.5%
Final 5 min
41.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
42.9%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%